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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
AomoriHOME · -
88 : 952014.11.02 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME27.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 73.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADES
AomoriAnalysis MetricsToyama
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -5.83
155.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.33
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
27.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
72.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aomori
L · 71-78W · 57-76W · 79-89W · 75-67L · 68-75
Toyama
W · 71-78W · 95-80W · 108-88W · 77-90W · 87-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.26Aomori79 : 93Toyama
2025.01.29Toyama83 : 89Aomori
2024.12.28Toyama106 : 79Aomori
2024.12.27Toyama104 : 66Aomori
2024.10.13Aomori56 : 95Toyama
2024.10.12Aomori75 : 97Toyama
2016.05.01Toyama81 : 52Aomori
2016.04.30Toyama91 : 68Aomori
2016.04.24Toyama98 : 90Aomori
2016.04.23Toyama95 : 67Aomori