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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
Earthfriends Tokyo ZHOME · -
70 : 792014.10.12 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME15.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY84.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.2% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +84.9%
VALUE EDGE+84.9%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADES
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAnalysis MetricsToyama
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.83
178.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.33
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
7.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
15.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
84.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
W · 74-84W · 75-90L · 106-84L · 103-66L · 88-96
Toyama
L · 79-87W · 81-63W · 84-62L · 94-109W · 85-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.06Toyama77 : 60Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2016.03.05Toyama86 : 66Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.11.15Earthfriends Tokyo Z65 : 93Toyama
2015.11.14Earthfriends Tokyo Z42 : 105Toyama
2015.01.18Toyama106 : 82Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.01.17Toyama91 : 54Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.10.13Earthfriends Tokyo Z71 : 77Toyama
2014.10.12Earthfriends Tokyo Z70 : 79Toyama
2014.04.27Toyama106 : 84Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.04.26Toyama103 : 66Earthfriends Tokyo Z