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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShimaneHOME · -
49 : 702014.10.11 · 종료
NeoPhoenixAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsNeoPhoenix
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+0.33 Point MarginHigher is better +3.75
167.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.25
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 72.7%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
43.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
56.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
L · 77-65L · 91-78L · 72-83L · 61-87W · 74-71
NeoPhoenix
W · 82-68L · 67-77L · 72-55L · 79-49W · 21-14

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.12.01NeoPhoenix113 : 78Shimane
2024.11.30NeoPhoenix79 : 85Shimane
2024.02.04NeoPhoenix85 : 82Shimane
2024.02.03NeoPhoenix103 : 71Shimane
2023.01.29NeoPhoenix64 : 81Shimane
2023.01.28NeoPhoenix64 : 71Shimane
2016.04.24Shimane51 : 88NeoPhoenix
2016.04.23Shimane61 : 85NeoPhoenix
2015.10.25NeoPhoenix68 : 62Shimane
2015.10.24NeoPhoenix62 : 64Shimane