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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShimaneHOME · -
57 : 622016.04.30 · 종료
OsakaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsOsaka
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better -26.00
163.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.17
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
L · 51-88L · 61-85W · 69-63L · 76-78W · 74-82
Osaka
L · 90-71W · 77-81W · 109-81W · 121-71L · 58-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.30Shimane95 : 73Osaka
2025.03.29Shimane78 : 73Osaka
2025.03.01Osaka74 : 60Shimane
2025.02.28Osaka68 : 85Shimane
2024.05.05Osaka74 : 67Shimane
2024.05.04Osaka92 : 73Shimane
2023.12.31Shimane89 : 83Osaka
2023.12.30Shimane111 : 82Osaka
2023.04.16Shimane74 : 73Osaka
2023.04.15Shimane88 : 91Osaka