Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NiigataHOME · -
56 : 802016.04.30 · 종료
IwateAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.6%
VALUE EDGE+57.6%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
NiigataAnalysis MetricsIwate
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-21.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.50
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.17
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niigata
L · 74-80W · 69-55W · 86-90W · 70-92L · 85-76
Iwate
W · 74-80L · 69-55W · 80-63L · 78-79W · 66-114
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.31 | Iwate | 92 : 75 | Niigata |
| 2024.03.30 | Iwate | 77 : 61 | Niigata |
| 2024.01.07 | Iwate | 52 : 60 | Niigata |
| 2024.01.06 | Iwate | 64 : 72 | Niigata |
| 2023.12.03 | Niigata | 69 : 80 | Iwate |
| 2023.12.02 | Niigata | 76 : 88 | Iwate |
| 2016.05.01 | Niigata | 66 : 83 | Iwate |
| 2016.04.30 | Niigata | 56 : 80 | Iwate |
| 2016.04.24 | Niigata | 74 : 80 | Iwate |
| 2016.04.23 | Niigata | 69 : 55 | Iwate |