Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
FukuokaHOME · -
97 : 752016.04.24 · 종료
NaraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.2%
VALUE EDGE+51.2%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
FukuokaAnalysis MetricsNara
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-1.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.17
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fukuoka
W · 75-60W · 71-80L · 95-77L · 98-104W · 115-101
Nara
L · 75-60W · 109-64W · 118-58L · 74-82L · 58-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.12 | Nara | 76 : 86 | Fukuoka |
| 2026.04.11 | Nara | 84 : 82 | Fukuoka |
| 2026.01.24 | Fukuoka | 68 : 70 | Nara |
| 2026.01.23 | Fukuoka | 70 : 80 | Nara |
| 2025.11.09 | Nara | 57 : 78 | Fukuoka |
| 2025.11.08 | Nara | 88 : 68 | Fukuoka |
| 2025.04.06 | Nara | 76 : 90 | Fukuoka |
| 2025.04.05 | Nara | 72 : 89 | Fukuoka |
| 2025.01.05 | Fukuoka | 79 : 98 | Nara |
| 2025.01.04 | Fukuoka | 91 : 68 | Nara |