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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShinshuHOME · -
96 : 852016.04.23 · 종료
SaitamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.1%
VALUE EDGE+82.1%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADES
ShinshuAnalysis MetricsSaitama
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-2.50 Point MarginHigher is better -22.42
169.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shinshu
L · 80-63W · 78-79W · 85-76L · 59-87W · 97-90
Saitama
W · 90-79L · 79-92L · 112-69L · 99-70L · 61-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.24Shinshu101 : 60Saitama
2016.04.23Shinshu96 : 85Saitama
2015.10.18Saitama66 : 83Shinshu
2015.10.17Saitama42 : 83Shinshu
2015.03.08Saitama84 : 98Shinshu
2015.03.07Saitama75 : 91Shinshu
2014.11.02Shinshu91 : 81Saitama
2014.11.01Shinshu90 : 78Saitama
2014.04.06Shinshu95 : 82Saitama
2014.04.05Shinshu105 : 65Saitama