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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
RyukyuHOME · -
77 : 812016.04.23 · 종료
OsakaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
RyukyuAnalysis MetricsOsaka
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
+4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -26.00
171.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.17
62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ryukyu
L · 84-77W · 56-74W · 112-61W · 107-66W · 68-82
Osaka
W · 109-81W · 121-71L · 58-56L · 66-61W · 78-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.04.16Osaka81 : 98Ryukyu
2025.01.29Ryukyu95 : 97Osaka
2024.11.03Osaka84 : 95Ryukyu
2024.11.02Osaka79 : 96Ryukyu
2024.03.20Ryukyu88 : 79Osaka
2023.12.06Osaka73 : 76Ryukyu
2023.11.05Osaka76 : 94Ryukyu
2023.11.04Osaka81 : 76Ryukyu
2023.04.30Ryukyu86 : 72Osaka
2023.04.29Ryukyu75 : 64Osaka