Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan

ShimaneHOME · -
61 : 852016.04.23 · 종료
NeoPhoenixAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.8%
VALUE EDGE+54.8%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsNeoPhoenix
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.75
163.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.42
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
70.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
W · 69-63L · 76-78W · 74-82W · 58-70W · 63-86
NeoPhoenix
W · 84-77L · 56-74W · 73-75W · 74-79L · 56-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.12.01 | NeoPhoenix | 113 : 78 | Shimane |
| 2024.11.30 | NeoPhoenix | 79 : 85 | Shimane |
| 2024.02.04 | NeoPhoenix | 85 : 82 | Shimane |
| 2024.02.03 | NeoPhoenix | 103 : 71 | Shimane |
| 2023.01.29 | NeoPhoenix | 64 : 81 | Shimane |
| 2023.01.28 | NeoPhoenix | 64 : 71 | Shimane |
| 2016.04.24 | Shimane | 51 : 88 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2016.04.23 | Shimane | 61 : 85 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2015.10.25 | NeoPhoenix | 68 : 62 | Shimane |
| 2015.10.24 | NeoPhoenix | 62 : 64 | Shimane |