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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
IwateHOME · -
80 : 632016.04.17 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
IwateAnalysis MetricsShinshu
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50
152.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.83
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iwate
L · 78-79W · 66-114W · 76-81W · 56-72L · 69-68
Shinshu
W · 78-79W · 85-76L · 59-87W · 97-90W · 90-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.12Shinshu89 : 70Iwate
2026.04.11Shinshu86 : 78Iwate
2026.03.08Iwate54 : 84Shinshu
2026.03.07Iwate70 : 94Shinshu
2025.11.09Iwate70 : 65Shinshu
2025.11.08Iwate61 : 66Shinshu
2016.04.17Iwate80 : 63Shinshu
2016.04.16Iwate78 : 79Shinshu
2015.10.25Shinshu74 : 80Iwate
2015.10.24Shinshu83 : 76Iwate