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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
NeoPhoenixHOME · -
84 : 772016.04.17 · 종료
RyukyuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsRyukyu
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+2.75 Point MarginHigher is better +4.25
165.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
28.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NeoPhoenix
L · 56-74W · 73-75W · 74-79L · 56-72W · 69-68
Ryukyu
W · 56-74W · 112-61W · 107-66W · 68-82W · 80-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01Ryukyu86 : 96NeoPhoenix
2026.10.31Ryukyu86 : 80NeoPhoenix
2025.05.19NeoPhoenix69 : 77Ryukyu
2025.05.17NeoPhoenix87 : 85Ryukyu
2024.10.06Ryukyu82 : 74NeoPhoenix
2024.03.03NeoPhoenix89 : 98Ryukyu
2024.03.02NeoPhoenix88 : 107Ryukyu
2023.02.12NeoPhoenix63 : 73Ryukyu
2023.02.11NeoPhoenix75 : 82Ryukyu
2016.04.17NeoPhoenix84 : 77Ryukyu