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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShimaneHOME · -
76 : 782016.04.16 · 종료
ShigaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEB
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsShiga
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-1.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00
163.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.50
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
13.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
W · 74-82W · 58-70W · 63-86L · 81-64L · 71-77
Shiga
W · 58-56W · 66-61L · 74-77L · 63-76L · 93-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.01.12Shiga61 : 81Shimane
2025.01.11Shiga65 : 93Shimane
2024.11.10Shimane92 : 55Shiga
2024.11.09Shimane83 : 62Shiga
2023.03.08Shiga89 : 98Shimane
2023.01.22Shiga69 : 84Shimane
2023.01.21Shiga80 : 108Shimane
2022.10.26Shimane87 : 63Shiga
2016.04.17Shimane69 : 63Shiga
2016.04.16Shimane76 : 78Shiga