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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
NaraHOME · -
118 : 582016.04.16 · 종료
HiroshimaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.4%
VALUE EDGE+86.4%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADES
NaraAnalysis MetricsHiroshima
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-7.17 Point MarginHigher is better -47.42
164.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.75
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
13.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nara
L · 74-82L · 58-70L · 78-59L · 77-65L · 77-67
Hiroshima
L · 112-61L · 107-66L · 65-141L · 54-110L · 76-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.17Nara109 : 64Hiroshima
2016.04.16Nara118 : 58Hiroshima
2016.01.19Hiroshima88 : 113Nara
2016.01.18Hiroshima51 : 114Nara