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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
SaitamaHOME · -
79 : 922016.04.16 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
SaitamaAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-22.25 Point MarginHigher is better -16.33
160.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.00
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saitama
L · 112-69L · 99-70L · 61-87L · 69-93L · 63-86
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 66-114L · 76-81L · 82-94L · 75-95L · 108-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.17Saitama90 : 79Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2016.04.16Saitama79 : 92Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.10.25Earthfriends Tokyo Z62 : 91Saitama
2015.10.24Earthfriends Tokyo Z76 : 70Saitama
2015.02.22Earthfriends Tokyo Z89 : 61Saitama
2015.02.21Earthfriends Tokyo Z85 : 87Saitama
2014.10.05Saitama74 : 84Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.10.04Saitama75 : 90Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.03.30Saitama67 : 74Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.03.29Saitama101 : 66Earthfriends Tokyo Z