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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
GunmaHOME · -
70 : 922016.04.16 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.6%
VALUE EDGE+66.6%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
GunmaAnalysis MetricsNiigata
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better -21.25
156.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gunma
L · 74-69L · 88-77W · 82-94W · 75-95L · 97-90
Niigata
L · 85-76W · 59-87W · 108-79W · 91-63L · 72-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.11.20Niigata81 : 93Gunma
2022.11.19Niigata72 : 100Gunma
2016.04.17Gunma86 : 90Niigata
2016.04.16Gunma70 : 92Niigata
2015.10.25Niigata66 : 69Gunma
2015.10.24Niigata92 : 53Gunma
2015.03.08Niigata101 : 73Gunma
2015.03.07Niigata87 : 70Gunma
2014.11.02Gunma71 : 81Niigata
2014.11.01Gunma68 : 73Niigata