Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ShinshuHOME · -
85 : 762016.04.10 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
ShinshuAnalysis MetricsNiigata
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.25
169.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation12.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shinshu
L · 59-87W · 97-90W · 90-64W · 90-97W · 91-93
Niigata
W · 59-87W · 108-79W · 91-63L · 72-59L · 81-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.07 | Niigata | 72 : 94 | Shinshu |
| 2023.05.06 | Niigata | 62 : 71 | Shinshu |
| 2023.01.07 | Shinshu | 74 : 80 | Niigata |
| 2023.01.06 | Shinshu | 73 : 62 | Niigata |
| 2016.04.10 | Shinshu | 85 : 76 | Niigata |
| 2016.04.09 | Shinshu | 59 : 87 | Niigata |
| 2015.11.08 | Niigata | 85 : 74 | Shinshu |
| 2015.04.12 | Shinshu | 69 : 84 | Niigata |
| 2015.04.11 | Shinshu | 64 : 93 | Niigata |
| 2014.12.28 | Niigata | 78 : 57 | Shinshu |