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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
112 : 692016.04.10 · 종료
SaitamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.3%
VALUE EDGE+86.3%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADES
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsSaitama
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-4.92 Point MarginHigher is better -19.75
167.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.92
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 99-70W · 61-87W · 69-93W · 66-82L · 79-71
Saitama
L · 99-70L · 61-87L · 69-93L · 63-86L · 65-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.10Toyama112 : 69Saitama
2016.04.09Toyama99 : 70Saitama
2016.04.03Saitama61 : 87Toyama
2016.04.02Saitama69 : 93Toyama
2015.01.25Toyama90 : 97Saitama
2015.01.24Toyama93 : 74Saitama
2014.10.19Saitama77 : 90Toyama
2014.10.18Saitama87 : 95Toyama
2014.03.02Saitama79 : 81Toyama
2014.03.01Saitama81 : 91Toyama