Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
SaitamaHOME · -
61 : 872016.04.03 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+87.4%
VALUE EDGE+87.4%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
SaitamaAnalysis MetricsToyama
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-21.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.92
162.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.08
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saitama
L · 69-93L · 63-86L · 65-88L · 68-87L · 62-89
Toyama
W · 69-93W · 66-82L · 79-71W · 72-59W · 81-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.10 | Toyama | 112 : 69 | Saitama |
| 2016.04.09 | Toyama | 99 : 70 | Saitama |
| 2016.04.03 | Saitama | 61 : 87 | Toyama |
| 2016.04.02 | Saitama | 69 : 93 | Toyama |
| 2015.01.25 | Toyama | 90 : 97 | Saitama |
| 2015.01.24 | Toyama | 93 : 74 | Saitama |
| 2014.10.19 | Saitama | 77 : 90 | Toyama |
| 2014.10.18 | Saitama | 87 : 95 | Toyama |
| 2014.03.02 | Saitama | 79 : 81 | Toyama |
| 2014.03.01 | Saitama | 81 : 91 | Toyama |