Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NaraHOME · -
58 : 702016.04.02 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY73.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+73.3%
VALUE EDGE+73.3%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
NaraAnalysis MetricsShimane
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
164.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.92
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nara
L · 78-59L · 77-65L · 77-67L · 89-61L · 81-91
Shimane
W · 63-86L · 81-64L · 71-77W · 80-51W · 67-52
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.03 | Nara | 74 : 82 | Shimane |
| 2016.04.02 | Nara | 58 : 70 | Shimane |
| 2015.10.04 | Shimane | 94 : 52 | Nara |
| 2015.10.03 | Shimane | 70 : 64 | Nara |
| 2015.04.26 | Shimane | 87 : 56 | Nara |
| 2015.04.25 | Shimane | 77 : 70 | Nara |
| 2015.01.25 | Nara | 73 : 74 | Shimane |
| 2015.01.24 | Nara | 85 : 84 | Shimane |
| 2014.04.13 | Nara | 66 : 80 | Shimane |
| 2013.11.24 | Shimane | 61 : 62 | Nara |