Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
IwateHOME · -
79 : 712016.03.26 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.5%
VALUE EDGE+54.5%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
IwateAnalysis MetricsToyama
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.92
152.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.08
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Iwate
W · 64-77L · 81-66W · 75-91W · 67-69L · 73-75
Toyama
W · 72-59W · 81-71W · 73-84W · 60-84W · 77-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.05.08 | Toyama | 92 : 61 | Iwate |
| 2016.05.07 | Toyama | 70 : 61 | Iwate |
| 2016.03.27 | Iwate | 66 : 82 | Toyama |
| 2016.03.26 | Iwate | 79 : 71 | Toyama |
| 2015.10.04 | Toyama | 75 : 66 | Iwate |
| 2015.10.03 | Toyama | 66 : 63 | Iwate |
| 2015.03.15 | Iwate | 79 : 81 | Toyama |
| 2015.03.14 | Iwate | 68 : 81 | Toyama |
| 2014.12.21 | Toyama | 74 : 66 | Iwate |
| 2014.12.20 | Toyama | 77 : 73 | Iwate |