Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NiigataHOME · -
79 : 712016.03.12 · 종료
AkitaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADES
NiigataAnalysis MetricsAkita
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-21.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.00
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.50
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niigata
L · 79-69L · 88-86W · 78-85W · 84-94W · 84-75
Akita
L · 84-95W · 91-65W · 88-103W · 78-100L · 82-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.12.18 | Niigata | 59 : 68 | Akita |
| 2022.12.17 | Niigata | 68 : 93 | Akita |
| 2016.03.13 | Niigata | 81 : 70 | Akita |
| 2016.03.12 | Niigata | 79 : 71 | Akita |
| 2015.11.22 | Akita | 91 : 67 | Niigata |
| 2015.11.21 | Akita | 93 : 73 | Niigata |
| 2015.05.10 | Akita | 19 : 18 | Niigata |
| 2015.05.10 | Akita | 82 : 63 | Niigata |
| 2015.05.09 | Akita | 74 : 79 | Niigata |
| 2015.02.22 | Akita | 83 : 93 | Niigata |