Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NaraHOME · -
61 : 812016.03.12 · 종료
RyukyuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.6%
VALUE EDGE+68.6%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
NaraAnalysis MetricsRyukyu
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-7.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.25
164.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.92
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nara
L · 78-77L · 70-67W · 49-60L · 80-74W · 69-54
Ryukyu
W · 77-65W · 73-77W · 71-88W · 95-58L · 66-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.13 | Nara | 81 : 91 | Ryukyu |
| 2016.03.12 | Nara | 61 : 81 | Ryukyu |
| 2015.10.18 | Ryukyu | 75 : 64 | Nara |
| 2015.10.17 | Ryukyu | 85 : 70 | Nara |
| 2015.04.19 | Nara | 54 : 89 | Ryukyu |
| 2015.04.18 | Nara | 69 : 89 | Ryukyu |
| 2015.01.18 | Ryukyu | 105 : 64 | Nara |
| 2015.01.17 | Ryukyu | 87 : 62 | Nara |
| 2014.03.23 | Nara | 60 : 73 | Ryukyu |
| 2014.03.22 | Nara | 72 : 86 | Ryukyu |