Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
FukuokaHOME · -
75 : 802016.03.05 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME28.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
FukuokaAnalysis MetricsShimane
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fukuoka
L · 73-77L · 71-88L · 89-68L · 89-70L · 77-86
Shimane
W · 97-86W · 87-69L · 95-58W · 66-83W · 56-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.06 | Fukuoka | 52 : 61 | Shimane |
| 2016.03.05 | Fukuoka | 75 : 80 | Shimane |
| 2015.11.15 | Shimane | 76 : 65 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.11.14 | Shimane | 82 : 71 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.04.19 | Shimane | 88 : 75 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.04.18 | Shimane | 88 : 82 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.01.18 | Fukuoka | 74 : 90 | Shimane |
| 2015.01.17 | Fukuoka | 72 : 70 | Shimane |
| 2014.04.06 | Shimane | 63 : 62 | Fukuoka |
| 2014.04.05 | Shimane | 50 : 79 | Fukuoka |