Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
86 : 662016.03.05 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME84.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+84.3%
VALUE EDGE+84.3%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-4.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
167.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.83
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 94-83L · 82-87W · 82-89L · 79-63L · 59-98
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 88-103L · 78-100L · 98-70L · 89-78L · 65-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.06 | Toyama | 77 : 60 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2016.03.05 | Toyama | 86 : 66 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2015.11.15 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 65 : 93 | Toyama |
| 2015.11.14 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 42 : 105 | Toyama |
| 2015.01.18 | Toyama | 106 : 82 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2015.01.17 | Toyama | 91 : 54 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.10.13 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 71 : 77 | Toyama |
| 2014.10.12 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 70 : 79 | Toyama |
| 2014.04.27 | Toyama | 106 : 84 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.04.26 | Toyama | 103 : 66 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |