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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
SaitamaHOME · -
58 : 842016.03.05 · 종료
AomoriAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.2%
VALUE EDGE+66.2%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
SaitamaAnalysis MetricsAomori
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-22.33 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08
162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.42
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saitama
L · 83-74W · 70-76L · 94-66L · 79-63L · 65-87
Aomori
L · 71-75L · 54-65L · 84-75L · 90-80L · 67-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.06Saitama50 : 63Aomori
2016.03.05Saitama58 : 84Aomori
2015.11.15Aomori70 : 61Saitama
2015.11.14Aomori87 : 80Saitama
2015.03.22Aomori77 : 58Saitama
2015.03.21Aomori87 : 62Saitama
2014.04.20Saitama76 : 88Aomori
2014.04.19Saitama75 : 94Aomori
2014.03.09Aomori82 : 73Saitama
2014.03.08Aomori90 : 77Saitama