Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
FukushimaHOME · -
88 : 862016.03.05 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.8%
VALUE EDGE+52.8%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
FukushimaAnalysis MetricsNiigata
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.25
180.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fukushima
W · 83-91L · 99-89W · 98-70W · 89-78W · 59-98
Niigata
W · 78-85W · 84-94W · 84-75W · 90-80W · 83-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.14 | Niigata | 57 : 92 | Fukushima |
| 2024.04.13 | Niigata | 71 : 90 | Fukushima |
| 2024.03.27 | Niigata | 75 : 93 | Fukushima |
| 2024.01.31 | Fukushima | 88 : 83 | Niigata |
| 2023.11.05 | Fukushima | 85 : 67 | Niigata |
| 2023.11.04 | Fukushima | 94 : 81 | Niigata |
| 2016.03.06 | Fukushima | 79 : 69 | Niigata |
| 2016.03.05 | Fukushima | 88 : 86 | Niigata |
| 2015.11.15 | Niigata | 67 : 77 | Fukushima |
| 2015.11.14 | Niigata | 83 : 74 | Fukushima |