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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShimaneHOME · -
97 : 862016.02.28 · 종료
OitaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 89.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +87.2%
VALUE EDGE+87.2%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEB
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsOita
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-0.92 Point MarginHigher is better +1.67
166.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.83
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
87.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
W · 87-69L · 95-58W · 66-83W · 56-82W · 55-75
Oita
L · 87-69L · 104-90L · 111-80L · 74-79L · 68-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.28Shimane97 : 86Oita
2016.02.27Shimane87 : 69Oita
2015.11.08Oita82 : 73Shimane
2015.11.07Oita67 : 96Shimane
2015.03.15Shimane83 : 80Oita
2015.03.14Shimane74 : 69Oita
2015.02.28Oita56 : 63Shimane
2014.03.22Oita73 : 54Shimane
2014.03.21Oita89 : 75Shimane
2013.12.08Shimane65 : 88Oita