Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
82 : 872016.02.27 · 종료
GunmaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsGunma
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.58
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 82-89L · 79-63L · 59-98W · 98-81W · 87-96
Gunma
W · 94-66W · 79-63L · 76-69L · 78-68L · 82-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.24 | Toyama | 70 : 88 | Gunma |
| 2024.03.23 | Toyama | 69 : 84 | Gunma |
| 2022.10.22 | Gunma | 86 : 73 | Toyama |
| 2016.02.28 | Toyama | 94 : 83 | Gunma |
| 2016.02.27 | Toyama | 82 : 87 | Gunma |
| 2016.01.31 | Gunma | 62 : 93 | Toyama |
| 2016.01.30 | Gunma | 71 : 87 | Toyama |
| 2015.04.26 | Gunma | 73 : 68 | Toyama |
| 2015.04.25 | Gunma | 78 : 89 | Toyama |
| 2015.02.15 | Toyama | 73 : 77 | Gunma |