Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
KyotoHOME · -
80 : 742016.02.27 · 종료
NaraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.8%
VALUE EDGE+51.8%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
KyotoAnalysis MetricsNara
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+6.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.17
160.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.00
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kyoto
W · 75-63W · 80-64W · 77-86W · 58-71W · 78-71
Nara
W · 69-54L · 71-74W · 74-79W · 68-81L · 57-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.28 | Kyoto | 49 : 60 | Nara |
| 2016.02.27 | Kyoto | 80 : 74 | Nara |
| 2015.11.08 | Nara | 80 : 63 | Kyoto |
| 2015.11.07 | Nara | 47 : 94 | Kyoto |
| 2015.02.22 | Nara | 53 : 78 | Kyoto |
| 2015.02.21 | Nara | 58 : 78 | Kyoto |
| 2014.12.21 | Kyoto | 70 : 64 | Nara |
| 2014.12.20 | Kyoto | 81 : 62 | Nara |
| 2014.10.18 | Kyoto | 91 : 53 | Nara |
| 2014.10.17 | Kyoto | 79 : 62 | Nara |