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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
AkitaHOME · -
82 : 892016.02.21 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.5%
VALUE EDGE+62.5%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
AkitaAnalysis MetricsToyama
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-5.00 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17
179.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.33
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation10.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Akita
W · 79-63W · 76-69W · 78-68L · 81-64W · 79-64
Toyama
L · 79-63L · 59-98W · 98-81W · 87-96L · 83-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.04Toyama73 : 100Akita
2024.02.03Toyama74 : 84Akita
2023.01.29Toyama80 : 98Akita
2023.01.28Toyama72 : 86Akita
2016.05.14Toyama99 : 84Akita
2016.02.21Akita82 : 89Toyama
2016.02.20Akita79 : 63Toyama
2016.01.16Toyama75 : 72Akita
2015.03.22Toyama94 : 82Akita
2015.03.21Toyama91 : 82Akita