Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NeoPhoenixHOME · -
104 : 902016.02.21 · 종료
OitaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsOita
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
165.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NeoPhoenix
W · 111-80L · 68-73L · 53-68W · 57-68W · 86-57
Oita
L · 111-80L · 74-79L · 68-81W · 85-110L · 84-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.21 | NeoPhoenix | 104 : 90 | Oita |
| 2016.02.20 | NeoPhoenix | 111 : 80 | Oita |
| 2015.11.01 | Oita | 63 : 90 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2015.10.31 | Oita | 88 : 102 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2015.04.26 | Oita | 61 : 74 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2015.04.25 | Oita | 54 : 101 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2015.01.25 | NeoPhoenix | 87 : 64 | Oita |
| 2015.01.24 | NeoPhoenix | 74 : 82 | Oita |
| 2014.02.09 | NeoPhoenix | 77 : 66 | Oita |
| 2014.02.08 | NeoPhoenix | 69 : 54 | Oita |