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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
NeoPhoenixHOME · -
111 : 802016.02.20 · 종료
OitaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.6%
VALUE EDGE+73.6%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsOita
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.75 Point MarginHigher is better +1.67
165.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NeoPhoenix
L · 68-73L · 53-68W · 57-68W · 86-57L · 67-79
Oita
L · 74-79L · 68-81W · 85-110L · 84-83W · 81-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.21NeoPhoenix104 : 90Oita
2016.02.20NeoPhoenix111 : 80Oita
2015.11.01Oita63 : 90NeoPhoenix
2015.10.31Oita88 : 102NeoPhoenix
2015.04.26Oita61 : 74NeoPhoenix
2015.04.25Oita54 : 101NeoPhoenix
2015.01.25NeoPhoenix87 : 64Oita
2015.01.24NeoPhoenix74 : 82Oita
2014.02.09NeoPhoenix77 : 66Oita
2014.02.08NeoPhoenix69 : 54Oita