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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
AomoriHOME · -
67 : 842016.02.14 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.6%
VALUE EDGE+51.6%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
AomoriAnalysis MetricsShinshu
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -2.50
155.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aomori
L · 71-79W · 97-79W · 79-69W · 62-73L · 93-72
Shinshu
W · 71-79W · 75-64W · 92-79L · 108-102W · 75-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.15Shinshu90 : 70Aomori
2026.03.14Shinshu91 : 65Aomori
2026.01.25Aomori75 : 66Shinshu
2026.01.24Aomori62 : 74Shinshu
2025.11.23Aomori64 : 79Shinshu
2025.11.22Aomori68 : 53Shinshu
2025.04.13Shinshu96 : 72Aomori
2025.04.12Shinshu80 : 65Aomori
2024.11.17Aomori80 : 112Shinshu
2024.10.20Shinshu89 : 73Aomori