Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
59 : 982016.02.14 · 종료
FukushimaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.3%
VALUE EDGE+69.3%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsFukushima
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.08
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.08
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 98-81W · 87-96L · 83-77W · 62-93W · 71-87
Fukushima
L · 98-81W · 81-64W · 108-102L · 75-95W · 67-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.01 | Fukushima | 80 : 105 | Toyama |
| 2024.12.18 | Fukushima | 79 : 121 | Toyama |
| 2024.11.18 | Toyama | 83 : 68 | Fukushima |
| 2024.10.23 | Toyama | 104 : 79 | Fukushima |
| 2016.02.14 | Toyama | 59 : 98 | Fukushima |
| 2016.02.13 | Toyama | 98 : 81 | Fukushima |
| 2015.10.10 | Fukushima | 76 : 73 | Toyama |
| 2015.04.19 | Toyama | 75 : 59 | Fukushima |
| 2015.04.18 | Toyama | 88 : 73 | Fukushima |
| 2015.02.08 | Fukushima | 89 : 87 | Toyama |