Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NiigataHOME · -
78 : 652016.02.07 · 종료
SaitamaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.0%
VALUE EDGE+72.0%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
NiigataAnalysis MetricsSaitama
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-21.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-22.33
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.50
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niigata
W · 92-74W · 86-77W · 70-88L · 82-79L · 67-86
Saitama
L · 92-74L · 60-80L · 51-81L · 79-84L · 75-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.07 | Niigata | 78 : 65 | Saitama |
| 2016.02.06 | Niigata | 92 : 74 | Saitama |
| 2015.11.01 | Saitama | 64 : 91 | Niigata |
| 2015.10.31 | Saitama | 71 : 95 | Niigata |
| 2015.01.18 | Saitama | 86 : 104 | Niigata |
| 2015.01.17 | Saitama | 81 : 93 | Niigata |
| 2014.10.12 | Niigata | 72 : 44 | Saitama |
| 2014.10.11 | Niigata | 73 : 64 | Saitama |
| 2014.04.27 | Saitama | 65 : 112 | Niigata |
| 2014.04.26 | Saitama | 76 : 78 | Niigata |