Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
KyotoHOME · -
77 : 742016.01.30 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
KyotoAnalysis MetricsShimane
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+6.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
160.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
13.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kyoto
W · 81-87W · 81-88W · 68-75L · 67-79L · 76-80
Shimane
L · 92-77W · 87-91W · 79-68W · 86-65L · 69-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.23 | Shimane | 64 : 74 | Kyoto |
| 2025.03.05 | Kyoto | 74 : 97 | Shimane |
| 2024.12.08 | Shimane | 80 : 78 | Kyoto |
| 2024.04.17 | Kyoto | 80 : 92 | Shimane |
| 2024.01.31 | Shimane | 72 : 75 | Kyoto |
| 2023.12.10 | Kyoto | 75 : 106 | Shimane |
| 2023.12.09 | Kyoto | 85 : 70 | Shimane |
| 2023.04.23 | Kyoto | 87 : 82 | Shimane |
| 2023.04.22 | Kyoto | 71 : 79 | Shimane |
| 2023.03.26 | Shimane | 92 : 89 | Kyoto |