Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
75 : 722016.01.16 · 종료
AkitaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsAkita
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.00
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
179.50
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 94-80W · 96-73W · 68-71L · 95-80L · 93-77
Akita
W · 88-67L · 70-80W · 67-79W · 76-80W · 95-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.04 | Toyama | 73 : 100 | Akita |
| 2024.02.03 | Toyama | 74 : 84 | Akita |
| 2023.01.29 | Toyama | 80 : 98 | Akita |
| 2023.01.28 | Toyama | 72 : 86 | Akita |
| 2016.05.14 | Toyama | 99 : 84 | Akita |
| 2016.02.21 | Akita | 82 : 89 | Toyama |
| 2016.02.20 | Akita | 79 : 63 | Toyama |
| 2016.01.16 | Toyama | 75 : 72 | Akita |
| 2015.03.22 | Toyama | 94 : 82 | Akita |
| 2015.03.21 | Toyama | 91 : 82 | Akita |