Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
SaitamaHOME · -
75 : 782016.01.16 · 종료
GunmaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.2%
VALUE EDGE+56.2%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
SaitamaAnalysis MetricsGunma
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-22.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.58
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saitama
L · 91-70L · 85-81L · 67-70L · 67-69W · 106-81
Gunma
L · 93-59W · 81-87L · 76-79L · 61-82L · 68-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.21 | Gunma | 94 : 66 | Saitama |
| 2016.02.20 | Gunma | 79 : 63 | Saitama |
| 2016.01.17 | Saitama | 79 : 84 | Gunma |
| 2016.01.16 | Saitama | 75 : 78 | Gunma |
| 2015.03.29 | Saitama | 64 : 72 | Gunma |
| 2015.03.28 | Saitama | 88 : 84 | Gunma |
| 2015.02.27 | Gunma | 84 : 71 | Saitama |
| 2015.02.26 | Gunma | 75 : 61 | Saitama |
| 2014.01.12 | Saitama | 62 : 71 | Gunma |
| 2014.01.11 | Saitama | 93 : 61 | Gunma |