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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
FukushimaHOME · -
78 : 932015.12.20 · 종료
RyukyuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.4%
VALUE EDGE+62.4%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEB
FukushimaAnalysis MetricsRyukyu
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+1.08 Point MarginHigher is better +4.50
180.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fukushima
W · 90-81W · 85-98L · 105-94L · 61-62W · 89-73
Ryukyu
L · 90-81W · 95-80W · 93-77L · 77-80W · 99-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.12.20Fukushima78 : 93Ryukyu
2015.12.19Fukushima90 : 81Ryukyu
2014.12.07Ryukyu86 : 73Fukushima
2014.12.06Ryukyu108 : 75Fukushima