Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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BJ League Japan

Earthfriends Tokyo ZHOME · -

69 : 822015.12.19 · 종료

NaraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME19.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY80.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +80.8%

VALUE EDGE+80.8%

FAIR ODDS1.24

GRADEA

Earthfriends Tokyo ZAnalysis MetricsNara

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -7.17

178.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.00

12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

19.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

80.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Earthfriends Tokyo Z

L · 72-89L · 98-73L · 77-56L · 53-96L · 63-73

Nara

W · 72-89L · 77-83W · 80-74L · 76-67L · 82-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.12.19	Earthfriends Tokyo Z	69 : 82	Nara
2015.12.18	Earthfriends Tokyo Z	72 : 89	Nara
2014.12.28	Nara	100 : 77	Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.12.27	Nara	95 : 82	Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.02.02	Earthfriends Tokyo Z	91 : 75	Nara
2014.02.01	Earthfriends Tokyo Z	58 : 87	Nara