Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ShigaHOME · -
88 : 1002015.12.12 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
ShigaAnalysis MetricsNiigata
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.25
174.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shiga
W · 53-96W · 63-73W · 125-58W · 108-86W · 67-102
Niigata
L · 59-89W · 73-71W · 86-73L · 59-80L · 91-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.21 | Niigata | 92 : 81 | Shiga |
| 2024.01.20 | Niigata | 80 : 89 | Shiga |
| 2023.11.12 | Shiga | 77 : 56 | Niigata |
| 2023.11.11 | Shiga | 82 : 66 | Niigata |
| 2015.12.13 | Shiga | 66 : 70 | Niigata |
| 2015.12.12 | Shiga | 88 : 100 | Niigata |
| 2014.11.16 | Shiga | 75 : 69 | Niigata |
| 2014.11.15 | Shiga | 67 : 60 | Niigata |
| 2013.11.17 | Shiga | 68 : 78 | Niigata |
| 2013.11.16 | Shiga | 61 : 90 | Niigata |