Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
85 : 932015.12.05 · 종료
FukuokaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.0%
VALUE EDGE+79.0%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsFukuoka
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.92
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
L · 86-73W · 59-80W · 99-70W · 90-63W · 65-93
Fukuoka
L · 83-63L · 82-66W · 73-61L · 71-72L · 76-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.11 | Fukuoka | 95 : 104 | Toyama |
| 2025.05.10 | Fukuoka | 77 : 84 | Toyama |
| 2025.02.09 | Fukuoka | 105 : 100 | Toyama |
| 2025.02.08 | Fukuoka | 92 : 72 | Toyama |
| 2024.12.15 | Toyama | 81 : 84 | Fukuoka |
| 2024.12.14 | Toyama | 58 : 78 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.12.06 | Toyama | 91 : 69 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.12.05 | Toyama | 85 : 93 | Fukuoka |
| 2014.01.05 | Fukuoka | 70 : 82 | Toyama |
| 2014.01.04 | Fukuoka | 80 : 77 | Toyama |