Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ShinshuHOME · -
106 : 872015.11.28 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.4%
VALUE EDGE+75.4%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADES
ShinshuAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
170.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shinshu
L · 99-70L · 90-63L · 78-93L · 76-84L · 85-74
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 106-67L · 87-60L · 65-93L · 42-105L · 93-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.20 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 90 : 97 | Shinshu |
| 2016.03.19 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 91 : 93 | Shinshu |
| 2015.11.29 | Shinshu | 76 : 65 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2015.11.28 | Shinshu | 106 : 87 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2015.01.11 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 71 : 83 | Shinshu |
| 2015.01.10 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 73 : 88 | Shinshu |
| 2014.10.19 | Shinshu | 87 : 75 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.10.18 | Shinshu | 72 : 91 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.03.23 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 67 : 108 | Shinshu |
| 2014.03.22 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 85 : 82 | Shinshu |