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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
NeoPhoenixHOME · -
109 : 632015.11.23 · 종료
NaraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME83.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +83.0%
VALUE EDGE+83.0%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsNara
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+2.75 Point MarginHigher is better -7.17
165.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
83.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NeoPhoenix
W · 64-55W · 58-65W · 68-76W · 89-86W · 101-59
Nara
L · 64-55L · 72-75W · 80-63L · 47-94W · 79-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.06Nara57 : 68NeoPhoenix
2015.11.23NeoPhoenix109 : 63Nara
2015.11.22NeoPhoenix64 : 55Nara
2015.04.05NeoPhoenix71 : 56Nara
2015.04.04NeoPhoenix78 : 65Nara
2015.01.04Nara65 : 79NeoPhoenix
2015.01.03Nara66 : 92NeoPhoenix
2014.04.20NeoPhoenix71 : 75Nara
2014.04.19NeoPhoenix87 : 70Nara
2013.12.01Nara62 : 60NeoPhoenix