Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
90 : 632015.11.21 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.1%
VALUE EDGE+72.1%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsShinshu
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-6.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.33
167.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.17
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 65-93W · 42-105W · 92-77L · 83-86W · 69-63
Shinshu
L · 78-93L · 76-84L · 85-74L · 87-74L · 72-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.27 | Shinshu | 99 : 81 | Toyama |
| 2026.09.26 | Shinshu | 85 : 99 | Toyama |
| 2025.04.06 | Toyama | 96 : 85 | Shinshu |
| 2025.04.05 | Toyama | 67 : 80 | Shinshu |
| 2024.12.21 | Shinshu | 92 : 96 | Toyama |
| 2024.11.10 | Toyama | 66 : 74 | Shinshu |
| 2024.11.09 | Toyama | 80 : 78 | Shinshu |
| 2024.04.21 | Toyama | 73 : 74 | Shinshu |
| 2024.04.20 | Toyama | 62 : 71 | Shinshu |
| 2023.11.05 | Shinshu | 83 : 79 | Toyama |