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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
GunmaHOME · -
87 : 602015.11.21 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.9%
VALUE EDGE+80.9%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADES
GunmaAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
158.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.83
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gunma
L · 85-64W · 72-73W · 88-87L · 88-98L · 59-74
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 65-93L · 42-105L · 93-76L · 90-64L · 58-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.02Earthfriends Tokyo Z82 : 94Gunma
2016.04.01Earthfriends Tokyo Z75 : 95Gunma
2015.11.22Gunma106 : 67Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.11.21Gunma87 : 60Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.02.08Gunma79 : 71Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.02.07Gunma81 : 73Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.11.23Earthfriends Tokyo Z65 : 87Gunma
2014.11.22Earthfriends Tokyo Z92 : 75Gunma
2014.02.15Earthfriends Tokyo Z86 : 83Gunma
2014.02.14Earthfriends Tokyo Z81 : 75Gunma