Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
RyukyuHOME · -
75 : 642015.10.18 · 종료
NaraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.2%
VALUE EDGE+86.2%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
RyukyuAnalysis MetricsNara
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.17
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.00
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ryukyu
W · 85-70L · 73-70W · 71-95W · 74-104W · 75-127
Nara
L · 85-70L · 67-83L · 48-85L · 94-52L · 70-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.13 | Nara | 81 : 91 | Ryukyu |
| 2016.03.12 | Nara | 61 : 81 | Ryukyu |
| 2015.10.18 | Ryukyu | 75 : 64 | Nara |
| 2015.10.17 | Ryukyu | 85 : 70 | Nara |
| 2015.04.19 | Nara | 54 : 89 | Ryukyu |
| 2015.04.18 | Nara | 69 : 89 | Ryukyu |
| 2015.01.18 | Ryukyu | 105 : 64 | Nara |
| 2015.01.17 | Ryukyu | 87 : 62 | Nara |
| 2014.03.23 | Nara | 60 : 73 | Ryukyu |
| 2014.03.22 | Nara | 72 : 86 | Ryukyu |