Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
AomoriHOME · -
69 : 922015.10.18 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.8%
VALUE EDGE+53.8%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADES
AomoriAnalysis MetricsToyama
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.17
155.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aomori
W · 94-76L · 75-80L · 85-103L · 111-57W · 64-79
Toyama
L · 94-76L · 76-73W · 75-66W · 66-63L · 81-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.26 | Aomori | 79 : 93 | Toyama |
| 2025.01.29 | Toyama | 83 : 89 | Aomori |
| 2024.12.28 | Toyama | 106 : 79 | Aomori |
| 2024.12.27 | Toyama | 104 : 66 | Aomori |
| 2024.10.13 | Aomori | 56 : 95 | Toyama |
| 2024.10.12 | Aomori | 75 : 97 | Toyama |
| 2016.05.01 | Toyama | 81 : 52 | Aomori |
| 2016.04.30 | Toyama | 91 : 68 | Aomori |
| 2016.04.24 | Toyama | 98 : 90 | Aomori |
| 2016.04.23 | Toyama | 95 : 67 | Aomori |