Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan

SaitamaHOME · -
42 : 832015.10.17 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.7%
VALUE EDGE+70.7%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADES
SaitamaAnalysis MetricsShinshu
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-22.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.33
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.17
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saitama
L · 78-55L · 87-55L · 91-70L · 77-56L · 95-64
Shinshu
L · 85-75L · 88-61L · 104-89L · 89-77L · 96-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.24 | Shinshu | 101 : 60 | Saitama |
| 2016.04.23 | Shinshu | 96 : 85 | Saitama |
| 2015.10.18 | Saitama | 66 : 83 | Shinshu |
| 2015.10.17 | Saitama | 42 : 83 | Shinshu |
| 2015.03.08 | Saitama | 84 : 98 | Shinshu |
| 2015.03.07 | Saitama | 75 : 91 | Shinshu |
| 2014.11.02 | Shinshu | 91 : 81 | Saitama |
| 2014.11.01 | Shinshu | 90 : 78 | Saitama |
| 2014.04.06 | Shinshu | 95 : 82 | Saitama |
| 2014.04.05 | Shinshu | 105 : 65 | Saitama |