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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
OitaHOME · -
87 : 832015.10.04 · 종료
FukuokaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
OitaAnalysis MetricsFukuoka
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92
182.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Oita
L · 84-106L · 23-18L · 92-68W · 67-74L · 61-74
Fukuoka
W · 84-106W · 89-87L · 86-102L · 88-75L · 88-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.10Fukuoka98 : 104Oita
2016.04.09Fukuoka115 : 101Oita
2015.10.04Oita87 : 83Fukuoka
2015.10.03Oita84 : 106Fukuoka
2015.02.22Oita81 : 83Fukuoka
2015.02.21Oita94 : 86Fukuoka
2014.10.19Fukuoka77 : 66Oita
2014.10.18Fukuoka83 : 91Oita
2014.03.01Oita57 : 66Fukuoka
2014.02.28Oita64 : 69Fukuoka